Middlesbrough FC vs Wrexham AFC Prediction

Championship · Wed 27 Jan, 12:00
Middlesbrough FC
1–0 Predicted · 12:00
Wrexham AFC

Match result prediction

Home 47%
Draw 26%
Away 27%

💡 Middlesbrough FC are favourites — about 47 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 52.4/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 52.4
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1581 v 1549 Middlesbrough rated higher
Form Index WWDDL v LLWWD Middlesbrough 1.6 · Wrexham 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1581 vs 1549).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.2 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Middlesbrough
Form Index
Middlesbrough
Goal expectation
Middlesbrough
Home advantage
Middlesbrough

Green = favours Middlesbrough · Blue = favours Wrexham. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MiddlesbroughWWDDL1.6 ppg
WrexhamLLWWD1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Middlesbrough1581
Wrexham1549
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model47% · 33% · 21%
Power Rating52% · 18% · 30%
Machine-learning41% · 28% · 30%

AI match preview

Middlesbrough FC hold a slight statistical edge over Wrexham AFC with a 47% chance of a home win and an expected goal tally of 1.25 compared to 0.74 for the visitors. The model suggests a tight contest, most likely finishing 1-0, with under 2.5 goals and both teams not scoring being the more probable outcomes. Remember, these projections are based on probabilities—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.25 – 0.74

Most likely score

1-0

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 32%

Under 68%

Both teams to score

Yes 39%

No 61%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 46+ matches)

MiddlesbroughWrexham
6.0 Corners 4.5
1.6 Cards 1.6
9.8 Fouls 9.7

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Wrexham AFC 2–2 Middlesbrough FC
Oct 2025 Middlesbrough FC 1–1 Wrexham AFC