Swansea City AFC vs Birmingham City FC Prediction

Championship · Sat 30 Jan, 12:00
Swansea City AFC
1–0 Predicted · 12:00
Birmingham City FC

Match result prediction

Home 54%
Draw 24%
Away 22%

💡 Swansea City AFC are favourites — about 54 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 62.2/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 62.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1561 v 1517 Swansea rated higher
Form Index WLWDW v LWWWD Swansea 2.0 · Birmingham 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Swansea City AFC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1561 vs 1517).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Swansea
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Swansea
Home advantage
Swansea

Green = favours Swansea · Blue = favours Birmingham. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SwanseaWLWDW2.0 ppg
BirminghamLWWWD2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Swansea1561
Birmingham1517
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model58% · 28% · 15%
Power Rating54% · 17% · 29%
Machine-learning50% · 27% · 23%

AI match preview

Swansea City AFC enters this Championship clash as slight favorites with a 54% chance of victory, backed by a model projecting 1.59 expected goals compared to Birmingham City FC’s 0.69. The most probable scoreline is a narrow 1-0 win for the home side, while a draw or away win remain plausible outcomes. With only a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score, this game may lean toward a tight, low-scoring encounter; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.59 – 0.69

Most likely score

1-0

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 40%

Under 60%

Both teams to score

Yes 41%

No 59%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Swansea City AFC 1–1 Birmingham City FC
Sept 2025 Birmingham City FC 1–0 Swansea City AFC