Birmingham City FC vs Stoke City FC Prediction

Championship · Sat 6 Feb, 12:00
Birmingham City FC
1–0 Predicted · 12:00
Stoke City FC

Match result prediction

Home 56%
Draw 24%
Away 19%

💡 Birmingham City FC are favourites — about 56 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 64.9/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 64.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1517 v 1431 Birmingham rated higher
Form Index LWWWD v DLLLL Birmingham 2.0 · Stoke 0.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Birmingham City FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1517 vs 1431).
  • Birmingham City FC is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Birmingham
Form Index
Birmingham
Goal expectation
Birmingham
Home advantage
Birmingham

Green = favours Birmingham · Blue = favours Stoke. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BirminghamLWWWD2.0 ppg
StokeDLLLL0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Birmingham1517
Stoke1431
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model59% · 28% · 13%
Power Rating61% · 13% · 26%
Machine-learning48% · 33% · 19%

AI match preview

Birmingham City FC are favored to edge Stoke City FC with a 56% probability of a home win, supported by an expected goals advantage of 1.52 to 0.59. The model suggests a tight contest, most likely finishing 1-0, with relatively low chances for over 2.5 goals or both teams scoring. These projections reflect statistical probabilities and should be used responsibly when considering bets (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.52 – 0.59

Most likely score

1-0

17% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 35%

Under 65%

Both teams to score

Yes 36%

No 64%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Birmingham City FC 1–1 Stoke City FC
Sept 2025 Stoke City FC 1–0 Birmingham City FC