Bristol City FC vs Middlesbrough FC Prediction

Championship · Sat 6 Feb, 12:00
Bristol City FC
1–1 Predicted · 12:00
Middlesbrough FC

Match result prediction

Home 30%
Draw 27%
Away 43%

💡 Middlesbrough FC have a slight edge — leaning Middlesbrough FC, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 46.1/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 46.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1487 v 1581 Middlesbrough rated higher
Form Index DLDLW v WWDDL Bristol City 1.0 · Middlesbrough 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Middlesbrough FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1581 vs 1487).
  • Middlesbrough FC is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Middlesbrough
Form Index
Middlesbrough
Goal expectation
Middlesbrough
Home advantage
Bristol City

Green = favours Bristol City · Blue = favours Middlesbrough. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Bristol CityDLDLW1.0 ppg
MiddlesbroughWWDDL1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Bristol City1487
Middlesbrough1581
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model28% · 27% · 45%
Power Rating35% · 24% · 41%
Machine-learning28% · 30% · 42%

AI match preview

Bristol City FC host Middlesbrough FC in a Championship clash where the visitors hold a 43% chance of victory, according to the model, while a draw is close behind at 27%. The projected goals suggest a tight contest with an expected 1.26 for Bristol City and 1.65 for Middlesbrough, making a 1-1 scoreline the most probable outcome. With a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and 59% probability of both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.26 – 1.65

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 56%

Under 44%

Both teams to score

Yes 59%

No 41%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 138+ matches)

Bristol CityMiddlesbrough
5.2 Corners 6.0
1.7 Cards 1.6
9.8 Fouls 9.8

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Middlesbrough FC 1–1 Bristol City FC
Dec 2025 Bristol City FC 2–0 Middlesbrough FC