Bristol City FC vs Southampton FC Prediction

Championship · Sat 13 Feb, 12:00
Bristol City FC
1–1 Predicted · 12:00
Southampton FC

Match result prediction

Home 26%
Draw 24%
Away 51%

💡 Southampton FC are favourites — about 51 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 57.5/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 57.5
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1487 v 1652 Southampton rated higher
Form Index DLDLW v WDWDW Bristol City 1.0 · Southampton 2.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Southampton FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1652 vs 1487).
  • Southampton FC is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Southampton
Form Index
Southampton
Goal expectation
Southampton
Home advantage
Bristol City

Green = favours Bristol City · Blue = favours Southampton. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Bristol CityDLDLW1.0 ppg
SouthamptonWDWDW2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Bristol City1487
Southampton1652
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model29% · 24% · 47%
Power Rating30% · 18% · 52%
Machine-learning18% · 30% · 52%

AI match preview

Bristol City FC hosts Southampton FC in a Championship clash where the model gives the visitors a 51% chance to win, though a draw remains a close possibility at 24%. Expected goals suggest an open game with 1.57 for Bristol and 2.03 for Southampton, aligning with a likely 1-1 scoreline despite the slight edge to Southampton. With a 70% probability for both over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, fans can anticipate an attacking encounter, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.57 – 2.03

Most likely score

1-1

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 70%

Under 30%

Both teams to score

Yes 70%

No 30%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 130+ matches)

Bristol CitySouthampton
5.2 Corners 5.8
1.7 Cards 2.1
9.8 Fouls 10.7

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Southampton FC 2–2 Bristol City FC
Oct 2025 Bristol City FC 3–1 Southampton FC