Norwich City FC vs Middlesbrough FC Prediction

Championship · Sat 13 Feb, 12:00
Norwich City FC
1–1 Predicted · 12:00
Middlesbrough FC

Match result prediction

Home 39%
Draw 26%
Away 35%

💡 Norwich City FC have a slight edge — leaning Norwich City FC, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 40.1/100
Confirm you are 18+ to see betting odds and value Predictions, probabilities and stats stay free for everyone.
🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 40.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1588 v 1581 Norwich rated higher
Form Index DWWWD v WWDDL Norwich 2.2 · Middlesbrough 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Norwich v Middlesbrough

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

📺 Guess the VAR — how many VAR checks in this match?

Loading the crowd's guesses…

Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1588 vs 1581).
  • Norwich City FC is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 1.6 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Norwich
Goal expectation
Middlesbrough
Home advantage
Norwich

Green = favours Norwich · Blue = favours Middlesbrough. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NorwichDWWWD2.2 ppg
MiddlesbroughWWDDL1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Norwich1588
Middlesbrough1581
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model28% · 29% · 43%
Power Rating48% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning41% · 28% · 31%

AI match preview

Norwich City and Middlesbrough meet in a closely matched Championship clash, with the model giving the home side a slight 39% edge over an away win at 35%. The projected expected goals suggest a tight contest, likely ending in a 1-1 draw, while there’s a moderate chance (49%) the match will see over 2.5 goals and a 54% probability both teams find the net. These projections highlight the competitive nature of the fixture, but remember these are statistical probabilities—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.14 – 1.48

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 49%

Under 51%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Middlesbrough FC 1–0 Norwich City FC
Aug 2025 Norwich City FC 1–2 Middlesbrough FC