Who is predicted to win Derby County FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC?

Our AI model predicts Home win (55% probability). The home/draw/away split is 55% / 23% / 22%.

What is the predicted score for Derby County FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC?

The most likely scoreline from the SwiftScore model is 0-0 (16%), from projected expected goals of 1.19–0.76.

Will both teams score in Derby County FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC?

Both teams to score: Yes 39%, No 61%. The chance of over 2.5 goals is 31%.

How confident is SwiftScore in this Derby County FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC prediction?

SwiftScore rates this call 63.8/100. Every prediction is locked before kick-off and graded against the real result on our public accuracy page.

Derby County FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC Prediction

Championship · Tue 16 Feb, 12:00

Derby County FC

0–0 Predicted · 12:00

Queens Park Rangers FC

Match result prediction

Home 55%

Draw 23%

Away 22%

💡 Derby County FC are favourites — about 55 times in 100.

Our pickHome win

SwiftScore Medium · 63.8/100

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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited

SwiftScore 63.8

/100 confidence

Power Rating 1562 v 1454 Derby County rated higher

Form Index LWLWL v DDLLL Derby County 1.2 · QPR 0.4 ppg

Model Consensus 100%

models back the pick

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Why we predict this

Derby County FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1562 vs 1454).
Derby County FC is in clearly better recent form (1.2 vs 0.4 pts/game).
All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating

Derby County

Form Index

Derby County

Goal expectation

Derby County

Home advantage

Derby County

Green = favours Derby County · Blue = favours QPR. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)

Derby CountyLWLWL1.2 ppg

QPRDDLLL0.4 ppg

Power Rating

Derby County1562

QPR1454

Model Consensus (home/draw/away)

Goals model45% · 34% · 22%

Power Rating64% · 12% · 24%

Machine-learning55% · 24% · 21%

AI match preview

Derby County FC holds a 55% chance of securing a home victory against Queens Park Rangers FC, with a projected confidence level of 63.8 out of 100. The model predicts a relatively low-scoring affair, estimating expected goals at 1.19 for Derby and 0.76 for QPR, while intriguingly suggesting 0-0 as the most likely scoreline. With only a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score, this matchup may hinge on tight defenses; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.19 – 0.76

Most likely score

0-0

16% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 31%

Under 69%

Both teams to score

Yes 39%

No 61%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Pride Park Stadium Derby, England Capacity 32,956 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Queens Park Rangers FC 2–3 Derby County FC

Oct 2025 Derby County FC 1–0 Queens Park Rangers FC