Middlesbrough FC vs Stoke City FC Prediction

Championship · Wed 17 Feb, 12:00
Middlesbrough FC
1–0 Predicted · 12:00
Stoke City FC

Match result prediction

Home 63%
Draw 22%
Away 16%

💡 Middlesbrough FC are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 73.8/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 73.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1581 v 1431 Middlesbrough rated higher
Form Index WWDDL v DLLLL Middlesbrough 1.6 · Stoke 0.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Middlesbrough FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1581 vs 1431).
  • Middlesbrough FC is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Middlesbrough
Form Index
Middlesbrough
Goal expectation
Middlesbrough
Home advantage
Middlesbrough

Green = favours Middlesbrough · Blue = favours Stoke. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MiddlesbroughWWDDL1.6 ppg
StokeDLLLL0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Middlesbrough1581
Stoke1431
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model58% · 31% · 11%
Power Rating68% · 12% · 20%
Machine-learning61% · 23% · 16%

AI match preview

Middlesbrough FC are favored to claim victory against Stoke City FC with a 63% probability, supported by a solid expected goals advantage of 1.34 to 0.45. The model suggests a tight encounter, most likely finishing 1-0, with low chances for high scoring or both teams finding the net. Remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.34 – 0.45

Most likely score

1-0

21% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 27%

Under 73%

Both teams to score

Yes 28%

No 72%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Stoke City FC 1–2 Middlesbrough FC
Sept 2025 Middlesbrough FC 0–0 Stoke City FC