Southampton FC vs Wrexham AFC Prediction

Championship · Sat 20 Feb, 12:00
Southampton FC
1–1 Predicted · 12:00
Wrexham AFC

Match result prediction

Home 56%
Draw 21%
Away 22%

💡 Southampton FC are favourites — about 56 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 65.6/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 65.6
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1652 v 1549 Southampton rated higher
Form Index WDWDW v LLWWD Southampton 2.2 · Wrexham 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Southampton FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1652 vs 1549).
  • Southampton FC is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Southampton
Form Index
Southampton
Goal expectation
Southampton
Home advantage
Southampton

Green = favours Southampton · Blue = favours Wrexham. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SouthamptonWDWDW2.2 ppg
WrexhamLLWWD1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Southampton1652
Wrexham1549
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model49% · 30% · 21%
Power Rating64% · 12% · 24%
Machine-learning55% · 24% · 21%

AI match preview

Southampton FC enters this Championship clash with a 56% chance of securing a home win against Wrexham AFC, with the model assigning a 65.6/100 confidence level to this outcome. Expected goals suggest a moderately close contest, projecting 1.47 for Southampton and 0.89 for Wrexham, while the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw. With under 50% probabilities for both over 2.5 goals (42%) and both teams to score (47%), this match could be a tight, tactical affair—remember these are statistical projections and please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.47 – 0.89

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 42%

Under 58%

Both teams to score

Yes 47%

No 53%

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Season averages (per game · last 46+ matches)

SouthamptonWrexham
5.8 Corners 4.5
2.1 Cards 1.6
10.7 Fouls 9.7

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Stadium & conditions

St Mary's Stadium Southampton, England Capacity 32,384 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Wrexham AFC 1–5 Southampton FC
Aug 2025 Southampton FC 2–1 Wrexham AFC