Middlesbrough FC vs Birmingham City FC Prediction

Championship · Sat 20 Feb, 12:00
Middlesbrough FC
1–0 Predicted · 12:00
Birmingham City FC

Match result prediction

Home 57%
Draw 22%
Away 20%

💡 Middlesbrough FC are favourites — about 57 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 67.1/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 67.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1581 v 1517 Middlesbrough rated higher
Form Index WWDDL v LWWWD Middlesbrough 1.6 · Birmingham 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Middlesbrough FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1581 vs 1517).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Middlesbrough
Form Index
Birmingham
Goal expectation
Middlesbrough
Home advantage
Middlesbrough

Green = favours Middlesbrough · Blue = favours Birmingham. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MiddlesbroughWWDDL1.6 ppg
BirminghamLWWWD2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Middlesbrough1581
Birmingham1517
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model61% · 29% · 10%
Power Rating57% · 15% · 27%
Machine-learning54% · 23% · 23%

AI match preview

Middlesbrough FC are favored to claim victory against Birmingham City FC, with a 57% probability and a projected 1-0 scoreline reflecting a tight contest. The model anticipates a low-scoring game, as expected goals stand at 1.48 for the home side versus 0.48 for the visitors, while both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals each hold just a 31% chance. These projections highlight Middlesbrough’s edge but suggest a cautious encounter—remember, these are statistical probabilities and not certainties; please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.48 – 0.48

Most likely score

1-0

20% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 31%

Under 69%

Both teams to score

Yes 31%

No 69%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Birmingham City FC 1–3 Middlesbrough FC
Nov 2025 Middlesbrough FC 2–1 Birmingham City FC