Portsmouth FC vs Southampton FC Prediction

Championship · Sat 27 Feb, 12:00
Portsmouth FC
1–1 Predicted · 12:00
Southampton FC

Match result prediction

Home 26%
Draw 28%
Away 46%

💡 Southampton FC are favourites — about 46 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 51.7/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 51.7
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1503 v 1652 Southampton rated higher
Form Index DWWWD v WDWDW Portsmouth 2.2 · Southampton 2.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Southampton FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1652 vs 1503).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Southampton
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Southampton
Home advantage
Portsmouth

Green = favours Portsmouth · Blue = favours Southampton. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
PortsmouthDWWWD2.2 ppg
SouthamptonWDWDW2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Portsmouth1503
Southampton1652
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model29% · 27% · 44%
Power Rating31% · 20% · 50%
Machine-learning17% · 37% · 45%

AI match preview

Portsmouth FC host Southampton FC in a Championship clash where the model slightly favors an away win with a 46% probability, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 28%. The expected goals suggest a competitive match, with a most likely scoreline of 1-1, and a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals alongside a 59% probability both teams will score. These projections highlight the balanced nature of the encounter, but remember they are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.27 – 1.61

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 55%

Under 45%

Both teams to score

Yes 59%

No 41%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 92+ matches)

PortsmouthSouthampton
5.6 Corners 5.8
2.2 Cards 2.1
11.1 Fouls 10.7

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Portsmouth FC 1–1 Southampton FC
Sept 2025 Southampton FC 0–0 Portsmouth FC