Swansea City AFC vs Stoke City FC Prediction

Championship · Sat 6 Mar, 12:00
Swansea City AFC
1–0 Predicted · 12:00
Stoke City FC

Match result prediction

Home 60%
Draw 23%
Away 18%

💡 Swansea City AFC are favourites — about 60 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 69.8/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 69.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1561 v 1431 Swansea rated higher
Form Index WLWDW v DLLLL Swansea 2.0 · Stoke 0.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Swansea City AFC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1561 vs 1431).
  • Swansea City AFC is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Swansea
Form Index
Swansea
Goal expectation
Swansea
Home advantage
Swansea

Green = favours Swansea · Blue = favours Stoke. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SwanseaWLWDW2.0 ppg
StokeDLLLL0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Swansea1561
Stoke1431
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model55% · 30% · 15%
Power Rating66% · 12% · 22%
Machine-learning57% · 27% · 16%

AI match preview

Swansea City AFC are favored to edge Stoke City FC at home, with a 60% probability of victory and a predicted scoreline of 1-0 based on expected goals of 1.44 to 0.65. The likelihood of a draw stands at 23%, while an away win is less probable at 18%. With only a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score, this match may lean towards a tight, low-scoring affair. Remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.44 – 0.65

Most likely score

1-0

16% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 35%

Under 65%

Both teams to score

Yes 38%

No 62%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Swansea City AFC 2–0 Stoke City FC
Dec 2025 Stoke City FC 2–1 Swansea City AFC