Millwall FC vs Bristol City FC Prediction

Championship · Sat 6 Mar, 12:00
Millwall FC
1–1 Predicted · 12:00
Bristol City FC

Match result prediction

Home 57%
Draw 22%
Away 22%

💡 Millwall FC are favourites — about 57 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 66.2/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 66.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1615 v 1487 Millwall rated higher
Form Index DWWDW v DLDLW Millwall 2.2 · Bristol City 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Millwall FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1615 vs 1487).
  • Millwall FC is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Millwall
Form Index
Millwall
Goal expectation
Millwall
Home advantage
Millwall

Green = favours Millwall · Blue = favours Bristol City. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MillwallDWWDW2.2 ppg
Bristol CityDLDLW1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Millwall1615
Bristol City1487
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model45% · 31% · 24%
Power Rating66% · 12% · 22%
Machine-learning57% · 24% · 19%

AI match preview

Millwall FC holds a 57% chance of securing a home victory against Bristol City FC, with the model projecting a closely contested match. Despite the home side's edge in expected goals (1.38 vs. 0.94), the most probable scoreline remains a 1-1 draw, reflecting the balanced nature of this encounter. With under 2.5 goals favored and both teams scoring less than 50% of the time, fans should anticipate a tight game; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.38 – 0.94

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 41%

Under 59%

Both teams to score

Yes 47%

No 53%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 138+ matches)

MillwallBristol City
5.0 Corners 5.2
1.9 Cards 1.7
12.9 Fouls 9.8

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Dec 2025 Millwall FC 2–1 Bristol City FC
Dec 2025 Bristol City FC 0–1 Millwall FC