Swansea City AFC vs Bristol City FC Prediction

Championship · Tue 16 Mar, 12:00
Swansea City AFC
1–1 Predicted · 12:00
Bristol City FC

Match result prediction

Home 51%
Draw 24%
Away 25%

💡 Swansea City AFC are favourites — about 51 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 58.3/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 58.3
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1561 v 1487 Swansea rated higher
Form Index WLWDW v DLDLW Swansea 2.0 · Bristol City 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Swansea City AFC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1561 vs 1487).
  • Swansea City AFC is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Swansea
Form Index
Swansea
Goal expectation
Swansea
Home advantage
Swansea

Green = favours Swansea · Blue = favours Bristol City. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SwanseaWLWDW2.0 ppg
Bristol CityDLDLW1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Swansea1561
Bristol City1487
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model44% · 31% · 25%
Power Rating59% · 14% · 27%
Machine-learning49% · 28% · 23%

AI match preview

Swansea City AFC holds a slight edge with a 51% chance of victory against Bristol City FC, backed by an expected goals tally of 1.34 to 0.94. Despite the home advantage, the model suggests a balanced encounter with a 24% draw probability and a close most likely scoreline of 1-1. With under 40% probability for over 2.5 goals and just under half for both teams to score, this match could be tight and tactical; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.34 – 0.94

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 40%

Under 60%

Both teams to score

Yes 47%

No 53%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Swansea City AFC 1–0 Bristol City FC
Nov 2025 Bristol City FC 3–0 Swansea City AFC