Queens Park Rangers FC vs Stoke City FC Prediction

Championship · Tue 16 Mar, 12:00
Queens Park Rangers FC
1–1 Predicted · 12:00
Stoke City FC

Match result prediction

Home 49%
Draw 25%
Away 26%

💡 Queens Park Rangers FC are favourites — about 49 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 54.6/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 54.6
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1454 v 1431 QPR rated higher
Form Index DDLLL v DLLLL QPR 0.4 · Stoke 0.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on QPR v Stoke

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1454 vs 1431).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
QPR
Form Index
QPR
Goal expectation
QPR
Home advantage
QPR

Green = favours QPR · Blue = favours Stoke. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
QPRDDLLL0.4 ppg
StokeDLLLL0.2 ppg
Power Rating
QPR1454
Stoke1431
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model48% · 28% · 23%
Power Rating51% · 19% · 30%
Machine-learning47% · 28% · 25%

AI match preview

Queens Park Rangers FC host Stoke City FC in a Championship clash where the model slightly favors a home win at 49%, though a draw (25%) and away victory (26%) remain plausible outcomes. The expected goals suggest a moderately tight contest with QPR edging it 1.56 to 1.02, yet the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 stalemate. With both teams having a 52% chance of scoring and under 50% likelihood for over 2.5 goals, fans can anticipate a competitive match; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.56 – 1.02

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 48%

Under 52%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Loftus Road London, England Capacity 18,439 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Stoke City FC 0–0 Queens Park Rangers FC
Sept 2025 Queens Park Rangers FC 1–0 Stoke City FC