Birmingham City FC vs Charlton Athletic FC Prediction

Championship · Wed 17 Mar, 12:00
Birmingham City FC
1–0 Predicted · 12:00
Charlton Athletic FC

Match result prediction

Home 57%
Draw 23%
Away 20%

💡 Birmingham City FC are favourites — about 57 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 66.2/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 66.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1517 v 1435 Birmingham rated higher
Form Index LWWWD v LDLDL Birmingham 2.0 · Charlton 0.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Birmingham City FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1517 vs 1435).
  • Birmingham City FC is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Birmingham
Form Index
Birmingham
Goal expectation
Birmingham
Home advantage
Birmingham

Green = favours Birmingham · Blue = favours Charlton. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BirminghamLWWWD2.0 ppg
CharltonLDLDL0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Birmingham1517
Charlton1435
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model62% · 26% · 12%
Power Rating60% · 14% · 26%
Machine-learning48% · 32% · 20%

AI match preview

Birmingham City FC enters this Championship clash with a 57% chance of securing a home victory over Charlton Athletic FC, according to the model, which also suggests a modest 66.2/100 confidence in this outcome. The expected goals tally favors Birmingham at 1.68 to Charlton’s 0.62, with the most probable final scoreline being a narrow 1-0 win for the hosts. With only a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and 39% likelihood of both teams scoring, this match may lean towards a tighter, low-scoring affair; remember these are statistical projections and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.68 – 0.62

Most likely score

1-0

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 41%

Under 59%

Both teams to score

Yes 39%

No 61%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Charlton Athletic FC 1–0 Birmingham City FC
Dec 2025 Birmingham City FC 1–1 Charlton Athletic FC