Wrexham AFC vs Stoke City FC Prediction

Championship · Sat 20 Mar, 12:00
Wrexham AFC
1–1 Predicted · 12:00
Stoke City FC

Match result prediction

Home 57%
Draw 21%
Away 22%

💡 Wrexham AFC are favourites — about 57 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 67.2/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 67.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1549 v 1431 Wrexham rated higher
Form Index LLWWD v DLLLL Wrexham 1.4 · Stoke 0.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Wrexham AFC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1549 vs 1431).
  • Wrexham AFC is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Wrexham
Form Index
Wrexham
Goal expectation
Wrexham
Home advantage
Wrexham

Green = favours Wrexham · Blue = favours Stoke. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
WrexhamLLWWD1.4 ppg
StokeDLLLL0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Wrexham1549
Stoke1431
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model46% · 29% · 24%
Power Rating65% · 12% · 23%
Machine-learning60% · 23% · 17%

AI match preview

Wrexham AFC hosts Stoke City FC in a Championship clash where the model gives Wrexham a 57% chance of victory, reflecting a slight edge over Stoke's 22%. Despite the home side's advantage, the most probable scoreline is a 1-1 draw, supported by an expected goals tally of 1.48 for Wrexham and 1.02 for Stoke. With only a 46% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance both teams score, this game promises a competitive encounter; remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.02

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 46%

Under 54%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%

No 49%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Wrexham AFC 2–0 Stoke City FC
Oct 2025 Stoke City FC 1–0 Wrexham AFC