Southampton FC vs Charlton Athletic FC Prediction

Championship · Sat 20 Mar, 12:00
Southampton FC
1–0 Predicted · 12:00
Charlton Athletic FC

Match result prediction

Home 70%
Draw 18%
Away 12%

💡 Southampton FC are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 84.9/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 84.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1652 v 1435 Southampton rated higher
Form Index WDWDW v LDLDL Southampton 2.2 · Charlton 0.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Southampton FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1652 vs 1435).
  • Southampton FC is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Southampton
Form Index
Southampton
Goal expectation
Southampton
Home advantage
Southampton

Green = favours Southampton · Blue = favours Charlton. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SouthamptonWDWDW2.2 ppg
CharltonLDLDL0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Southampton1652
Charlton1435
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model65% · 25% · 10%
Power Rating74% · 12% · 14%
Machine-learning73% · 17% · 10%

AI match preview

Southampton FC enters this Championship clash as clear favorites with a 70% probability of securing a home win, supported by a strong confidence level of 84.9 out of 100. The model projects a low-scoring encounter, with an expected goals tally of 1.74 for Southampton versus 0.57 for Charlton Athletic, making a 1-0 result the most likely outcome. While under 2.5 goals and both teams not scoring appear probable, remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.74 – 0.57

Most likely score

1-0

16% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 41%

Under 59%

Both teams to score

Yes 37%

No 63%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

St Mary's Stadium Southampton, England Capacity 32,384 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Southampton FC 1–1 Charlton Athletic FC
Nov 2025 Charlton Athletic FC 1–5 Southampton FC