Middlesbrough FC vs Sheffield United FC Prediction

Championship · Sat 20 Mar, 12:00
Middlesbrough FC
1–0 Predicted · 12:00
Sheffield United FC

Match result prediction

Home 52%
Draw 24%
Away 24%

💡 Middlesbrough FC are favourites — about 52 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 60.0/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 60.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1581 v 1507 Middlesbrough rated higher
Form Index WWDDL v LWLLW Middlesbrough 1.6 · Sheffield Utd 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Middlesbrough FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1581 vs 1507).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Middlesbrough
Form Index
Middlesbrough
Goal expectation
Middlesbrough
Home advantage
Middlesbrough

Green = favours Middlesbrough · Blue = favours Sheffield Utd. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MiddlesbroughWWDDL1.6 ppg
Sheffield UtdLWLLW1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Middlesbrough1581
Sheffield Utd1507
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model48% · 32% · 20%
Power Rating59% · 14% · 26%
Machine-learning49% · 26% · 25%

AI match preview

Middlesbrough FC hold a slight advantage with a 52% chance of securing a home win against Sheffield United FC, as projected by the model. The expected goals tally suggests a tight contest, with Middlesbrough likely edging it 1-0 in a low-scoring affair. With only a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score, this match could hinge on a single decisive moment; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.29 – 0.74

Most likely score

1-0

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 33%

Under 67%

Both teams to score

Yes 40%

No 60%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 130+ matches)

MiddlesbroughSheffield Utd
6.0 Corners 5.4
1.6 Cards 2.1
9.8 Fouls 10.9

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Sheffield United FC 1–2 Middlesbrough FC
Aug 2025 Middlesbrough FC 1–0 Sheffield United FC