Derby County FC vs Preston North End FC Prediction

Championship · Sat 20 Mar, 12:00
Derby County FC
1–1 Predicted · 12:00
Preston North End FC

Match result prediction

Home 53%
Draw 22%
Away 26%

💡 Derby County FC are favourites — about 53 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 60.0/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 60.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1562 v 1471 Derby County rated higher
Form Index LWLWL v WLLWL Derby County 1.2 · Preston NE 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Derby County FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1562 vs 1471).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Derby County
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Derby County
Home advantage
Derby County

Green = favours Derby County · Blue = favours Preston NE. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Derby CountyLWLWL1.2 ppg
Preston NEWLLWL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Derby County1562
Preston NE1471
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model39% · 32% · 29%
Power Rating62% · 13% · 25%
Machine-learning56% · 21% · 23%

AI match preview

Derby County FC holds a slight edge with a 53% chance of victory against Preston North End FC, though a draw remains a notable possibility at 22%. The model predicts a closely contested match with an expected goals tally of 1.23 for Derby and 1.02 for Preston, pointing towards a likely 1-1 scoreline. With under 2.5 goals favored and a 47% chance both teams will score, fans can anticipate a tight battle—remember, these projections are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.23 – 1.02

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 39%

Under 61%

Both teams to score

Yes 47%

No 53%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Pride Park Stadium Derby, England Capacity 32,956 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Preston North End FC 0–1 Derby County FC
Sept 2025 Derby County FC 0–1 Preston North End FC