Portsmouth FC vs Middlesbrough FC Prediction

Championship · Sat 3 Apr, 13:00
Portsmouth FC
1–1 Predicted · 13:00
Middlesbrough FC

Match result prediction

Home 30%
Draw 31%
Away 39%

💡 Middlesbrough FC have a slight edge — leaning Middlesbrough FC, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 41.2/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 41.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1503 v 1581 Middlesbrough rated higher
Form Index DWWWD v WWDDL Portsmouth 2.2 · Middlesbrough 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Middlesbrough FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1581 vs 1503).
  • Portsmouth FC is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 1.6 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Middlesbrough
Form Index
Portsmouth
Goal expectation
Middlesbrough
Home advantage
Portsmouth

Green = favours Portsmouth · Blue = favours Middlesbrough. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
PortsmouthDWWWD2.2 ppg
MiddlesbroughWWDDL1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Portsmouth1503
Middlesbrough1581
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model27% · 31% · 42%
Power Rating36% · 26% · 39%
Machine-learning27% · 36% · 37%

AI match preview

Portsmouth FC host Middlesbrough FC in a Championship clash where the away side holds a slight edge with a 39% chance of victory, while a draw is just as likely at 31%. The model projects a tight contest with an expected goals tally of 1.03 for Portsmouth and 1.32 for Middlesbrough, suggesting a balanced match possibly ending 1-1. With under 2.5 goals favored and both teams likely to score just under 50% probability, fans can anticipate a competitive encounter; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.03 – 1.32

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 41%

Under 59%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%

No 51%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 92+ matches)

PortsmouthMiddlesbrough
5.6 Corners 6.0
2.2 Cards 1.6
11.1 Fouls 9.8

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Middlesbrough FC 0–1 Portsmouth FC
Oct 2025 Portsmouth FC 1–0 Middlesbrough FC