Millwall FC vs Middlesbrough FC Prediction

Championship · Tue 6 Apr, 13:00
Millwall FC
1–1 Predicted · 13:00
Middlesbrough FC

Match result prediction

Home 46%
Draw 25%
Away 29%

💡 Millwall FC are favourites — about 46 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 50.8/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 50.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1615 v 1581 Millwall rated higher
Form Index DWWDW v WWDDL Millwall 2.2 · Middlesbrough 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1615 vs 1581).
  • Millwall FC is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 1.6 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Millwall
Form Index
Millwall
Goal expectation
Millwall
Home advantage
Millwall

Green = favours Millwall · Blue = favours Middlesbrough. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MillwallDWWDW2.2 ppg
MiddlesbroughWWDDL1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Millwall1615
Middlesbrough1581
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model40% · 29% · 30%
Power Rating52% · 18% · 30%
Machine-learning45% · 29% · 26%

AI match preview

Millwall FC host Middlesbrough FC in a closely contested Championship clash, with the model giving Millwall a 46% chance of victory and a 29% likelihood for Middlesbrough to claim the points. Expected goals are tight at 1.42 for Millwall and 1.20 for Middlesbrough, suggesting a competitive match that could well end in a 1-1 draw. There is roughly a 49% chance the game will see over 2.5 goals and a 55% probability both teams score, making for an intriguing encounter—remember, these are statistical projections and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.42 – 1.20

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 49%

Under 51%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 138+ matches)

MillwallMiddlesbrough
5.0 Corners 6.0
1.9 Cards 1.6
12.9 Fouls 9.8

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Middlesbrough FC 1–2 Millwall FC
Aug 2025 Millwall FC 0–3 Middlesbrough FC