West Bromwich Albion FC vs Derby County FC Prediction

Championship · Wed 7 Apr, 13:00
West Bromwich Albion FC
1–1 Predicted · 13:00
Derby County FC

Match result prediction

Home 29%
Draw 30%
Away 41%

💡 Derby County FC have a slight edge — leaning Derby County FC, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 44.2/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 44.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1478 v 1562 Derby County rated higher
Form Index DDWWL v LWLWL West Brom 1.6 · Derby County 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Derby County FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1562 vs 1478).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Derby County
Form Index
West Brom
Goal expectation
Derby County
Home advantage
West Brom

Green = favours West Brom · Blue = favours Derby County. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
West BromDDWWL1.6 ppg
Derby CountyLWLWL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
West Brom1478
Derby County1562
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model27% · 29% · 44%
Power Rating35% · 25% · 39%
Machine-learning25% · 35% · 40%

AI match preview

West Bromwich Albion host Derby County in a closely matched Championship clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 41%, though a draw remains a strong possibility with a 30% chance. Expected goals suggest a tight game with both sides likely to find the net, reflected in the 53% probability for BTTS and a most probable scoreline of 1-1. With moderate chances for over 2.5 goals at 47%, this encounter could hinge on fine margins—remember these projections are statistical estimates and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.11 – 1.46

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 47%

Under 53%

Both teams to score

Yes 53%

No 47%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

The Hawthorns West Bromwich, England Capacity 26,688 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Derby County FC 1–1 West Bromwich Albion FC
Sept 2025 West Bromwich Albion FC 0–1 Derby County FC