Charlton Athletic FC vs Stoke City FC Prediction

Championship · Sat 10 Apr, 13:00
Charlton Athletic FC
0–0 Predicted · 13:00
Stoke City FC

Match result prediction

Home 42%
Draw 29%
Away 29%

💡 Charlton Athletic FC have a slight edge — leaning Charlton Athletic FC, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 44.9/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 44.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1435 v 1431 Charlton rated higher
Form Index LDLDL v DLLLL Charlton 0.4 · Stoke 0.2 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1435 vs 1431).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Charlton
Goal expectation
Charlton
Home advantage
Charlton

Green = favours Charlton · Blue = favours Stoke. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
CharltonLDLDL0.4 ppg
StokeDLLLL0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Charlton1435
Stoke1431
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model36% · 37% · 27%
Power Rating47% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning41% · 30% · 30%

AI match preview

Charlton Athletic FC host Stoke City FC in a closely contested Championship clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 42% chance of victory, compared to a 29% likelihood for both a draw and an away win. The expected goals suggest a tight match with 0.95 for Charlton and 0.78 for Stoke, pointing towards a low-scoring affair, with 0-0 as the most probable scoreline. Given the modest probabilities for over 2.5 goals (25%) and both teams to score (35%), this game may hinge on narrow margins—remember, these are statistical projections and all betting should be done responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.95 – 0.78

Most likely score

0-0

20% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 25%

Under 75%

Both teams to score

Yes 35%

No 65%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Charlton Athletic FC 1–0 Stoke City FC
Nov 2025 Stoke City FC 3–0 Charlton Athletic FC