Millwall FC vs Southampton FC Prediction

Championship · Sat 17 Apr, 13:00
Millwall FC
1–1 Predicted · 13:00
Southampton FC

Match result prediction

Home 39%
Draw 28%
Away 34%

💡 Millwall FC have a slight edge — leaning Millwall FC, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 40.2/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 40.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1615 v 1652 Southampton rated higher
Form Index DWWDW v WDWDW Millwall 2.2 · Southampton 2.2 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1615 vs 1652).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Southampton
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Millwall
Home advantage
Millwall

Green = favours Millwall · Blue = favours Southampton. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MillwallDWWDW2.2 ppg
SouthamptonWDWDW2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Millwall1615
Southampton1652
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model43% · 26% · 31%
Power Rating41% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning32% · 33% · 35%

AI match preview

Millwall FC host Southampton FC in a closely contested Championship clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 39% probability. Both teams are expected to score, with a 65% chance of both teams finding the net and an anticipated 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline. With a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals, fans can expect an open game, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.76 – 1.48

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 63%

Under 37%

Both teams to score

Yes 65%

No 35%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 130+ matches)

MillwallSouthampton
5.0 Corners 5.8
1.9 Cards 2.1
12.9 Fouls 10.7

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Southampton FC 0–0 Millwall FC
Nov 2025 Millwall FC 3–2 Southampton FC