Bristol City FC vs Derby County FC Prediction

Championship · Sat 24 Apr, 13:00
Bristol City FC
1–1 Predicted · 13:00
Derby County FC

Match result prediction

Home 31%
Draw 28%
Away 42%

💡 Derby County FC have a slight edge — leaning Derby County FC, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 44.6/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 44.6
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1487 v 1562 Derby County rated higher
Form Index DLDLW v LWLWL Bristol City 1.0 · Derby County 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Derby County FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1562 vs 1487).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Derby County
Form Index
Derby County
Goal expectation
Derby County
Home advantage
Bristol City

Green = favours Bristol City · Blue = favours Derby County. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Bristol CityDLDLW1.0 ppg
Derby CountyLWLWL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Bristol City1487
Derby County1562
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model27% · 27% · 45%
Power Rating36% · 26% · 38%
Machine-learning28% · 30% · 42%

AI match preview

Bristol City FC host Derby County FC in a Championship clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 42%, though a draw remains a strong possibility with a 28% chance. The expected goals suggest a competitive match with 1.23 for Bristol City and 1.63 for Derby, aligning with the most likely 1-1 scoreline. With over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 58%, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.23 – 1.63

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 54%

Under 46%

Both teams to score

Yes 58%

No 42%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Bristol City FC 0–5 Derby County FC
Aug 2025 Derby County FC 1–1 Bristol City FC