Southampton FC vs Sheffield United FC Prediction

Championship · Sat 1 May, 13:00
Southampton FC
1–1 Predicted · 13:00
Sheffield United FC

Match result prediction

Home 60%
Draw 20%
Away 19%

💡 Southampton FC are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 71.5/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 71.5
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1652 v 1507 Southampton rated higher
Form Index WDWDW v LWLLW Southampton 2.2 · Sheffield Utd 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Southampton FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1652 vs 1507).
  • Southampton FC is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Southampton
Form Index
Southampton
Goal expectation
Southampton
Home advantage
Southampton

Green = favours Southampton · Blue = favours Sheffield Utd. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SouthamptonWDWDW2.2 ppg
Sheffield UtdLWLLW1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Southampton1652
Sheffield Utd1507
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model51% · 29% · 20%
Power Rating68% · 12% · 20%
Machine-learning62% · 21% · 17%

AI match preview

Southampton FC hold a 60% chance of securing a home win against Sheffield United FC, with the model projecting a tight contest and a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline. Expected goals favor Southampton at 1.52 compared to Sheffield United's 0.89, suggesting a slightly stronger attacking edge for the hosts. With under 2.5 goals and both teams not necessarily scoring, this match could be closely contested; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.52 – 0.89

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 43%

Under 57%

Both teams to score

Yes 48%

No 52%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 130+ matches)

SouthamptonSheffield Utd
5.8 Corners 5.4
2.1 Cards 2.1
10.7 Fouls 10.9

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Stadium & conditions

St Mary's Stadium Southampton, England Capacity 32,384 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Southampton FC 1–0 Sheffield United FC
Sept 2025 Sheffield United FC 1–2 Southampton FC