Wrexham AFC vs Bristol City FC Prediction

Championship · Sat 1 May, 13:00
Wrexham AFC
1–1 Predicted · 13:00
Bristol City FC

Match result prediction

Home 48%
Draw 22%
Away 30%

💡 Wrexham AFC are favourites — about 48 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 52.6/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 52.6
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1549 v 1487 Wrexham rated higher
Form Index LLWWD v DLDLW Wrexham 1.4 · Bristol City 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Wrexham AFC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1549 vs 1487).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Wrexham
Form Index
Wrexham
Goal expectation
Bristol City
Home advantage
Wrexham

Green = favours Wrexham · Blue = favours Bristol City. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
WrexhamLLWWD1.4 ppg
Bristol CityDLDLW1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Wrexham1549
Bristol City1487
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model34% · 28% · 38%
Power Rating57% · 16% · 28%
Machine-learning51% · 24% · 25%

AI match preview

Wrexham AFC and Bristol City FC are set for a closely contested Championship clash, with the model giving Wrexham a 48% chance to claim victory and Bristol City a 30% chance to upset on the road. The expected goals tally is nearly even at 1.38 for Wrexham and 1.46 for Bristol City, suggesting a tight encounter likely to produce goals, with a 59% probability both teams will score. While a 1-1 draw is the most probable scoreline, the 54% chance of over 2.5 goals indicates the match could open up; remember, these projections are statistical estimates and betting should be done responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.38 – 1.46

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 54%

Under 46%

Both teams to score

Yes 59%

No 41%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 46+ matches)

WrexhamBristol City
4.5 Corners 5.2
1.6 Cards 1.7
9.7 Fouls 9.8

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Bristol City FC 2–2 Wrexham AFC
Nov 2025 Wrexham AFC 2–0 Bristol City FC