Swansea City AFC vs Middlesbrough FC Prediction

Championship · Sat 1 May, 13:00
Swansea City AFC
1–1 Predicted · 13:00
Middlesbrough FC

Match result prediction

Home 40%
Draw 28%
Away 32%

💡 Swansea City AFC have a slight edge — leaning Swansea City AFC, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 42.2/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 42.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1561 v 1581 Middlesbrough rated higher
Form Index WLWDW v WWDDL Swansea 2.0 · Middlesbrough 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Swansea v Middlesbrough

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1561 vs 1581).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Middlesbrough
Form Index
Swansea
Goal expectation
Swansea
Home advantage
Swansea

Green = favours Swansea · Blue = favours Middlesbrough. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SwanseaWLWDW2.0 ppg
MiddlesbroughWWDDL1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Swansea1561
Middlesbrough1581
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model39% · 30% · 31%
Power Rating43% · 23% · 34%
Machine-learning37% · 33% · 31%

AI match preview

Swansea City AFC host Middlesbrough FC in a closely matched Championship encounter, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 40% probability against Middlesbrough’s 32%. Both teams are expected to score, as indicated by a 54% chance of BTTS, while the predicted most likely score is a 1-1 draw. With just under half the games projected to exceed 2.5 goals, this contest could see a decent goal return, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.38 – 1.20

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 48%

Under 52%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Swansea City AFC 2–2 Middlesbrough FC
Aug 2025 Middlesbrough FC 1–0 Swansea City AFC