Hamburg vs M'gladbach Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Sat 17 Jan, 14:30
Hamburg
00 Full time
M'gladbach
Hamburg 0–0 M'gladbach

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (40%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 40%
Draw 27%
Away 33%

💡 Hamburg have a slight edge — leaning Hamburg, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 42.1/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 42.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1453 v 1471 M'gladbach rated higher
Form Index WWLDL v WLLWL Hamburg 1.4 · M'gladbach 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1453 vs 1471).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
M'gladbach
Form Index
Hamburg
Goal expectation
Hamburg
Home advantage
Hamburg

Green = favours Hamburg · Blue = favours M'gladbach. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
HamburgWWLDL1.4 ppg
M'gladbachWLLWL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Hamburg1453
M'gladbach1471
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model42% · 29% · 28%
Power Rating44% · 23% · 33%
Machine-learning37% · 30% · 33%

AI match preview

Hamburg hosts M'gladbach in a Bundesliga clash where the model gives the home side a slight edge with a 40% chance of victory, compared to 33% for the visitors and a 27% probability of a draw. Expected goals suggest a close contest (1.46 for Hamburg vs. 1.16 for M'gladbach), with the most likely scoreline being a 1-1 draw. With a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and 54% probability both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.46 – 1.16

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 49%

Under 51%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Hamburg 0–0 M'gladbach
Aug 2025 M'gladbach 0–0 Hamburg