Stuttgart vs Union Berlin Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Sun 18 Jan, 14:30
Stuttgart
11 Full time
Union Berlin
Stuttgart 1–1 Union Berlin

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (59%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 59%
Draw 21%
Away 20%

💡 Stuttgart are favourites — about 59 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 69.8/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 69.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1567 v 1487 Stuttgart rated higher
Form Index LWDWW v LWWDD Stuttgart 2.0 · Union Berlin 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Stuttgart v Union Berlin

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Why we predict this

  • Stuttgart is the stronger side on Power Rating (1567 vs 1487).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Stuttgart
Form Index
Stuttgart
Goal expectation
Stuttgart
Home advantage
Stuttgart

Green = favours Stuttgart · Blue = favours Union Berlin. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
StuttgartLWDWW2.0 ppg
Union BerlinLWWDD1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Stuttgart1567
Union Berlin1487
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model46% · 30% · 24%
Power Rating60% · 14% · 26%
Machine-learning71% · 15% · 15%

AI match preview

Stuttgart enters this Bundesliga clash with a 59% chance of securing a home win against Union Berlin, according to model projections, though a draw remains a notable 21% possibility. The expected goals suggest a tight contest, with Stuttgart slightly ahead at 1.47 to 1.00, and the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw. With a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance both teams will score, fans can anticipate an engaging match, but remember these are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.47 – 1.00

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 45%

Under 55%

Both teams to score

Yes 50%

No 50%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

MHPArena Stuttgart, Germany Capacity 60,449 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Stuttgart 1–1 Union Berlin
Aug 2025 Union Berlin 2–1 Stuttgart