Augsburg vs Freiburg Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Sun 18 Jan, 16:30
Augsburg
22 Full time
Freiburg
Augsburg 2–2 Freiburg

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Draw (29%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 35%
Draw 29%
Away 36%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 37.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 37.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1434 v 1501 Freiburg rated higher
Form Index WLDLD v LDWWL Augsburg 1.0 · Freiburg 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 0%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Augsburg v Freiburg

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Why we predict this

  • Freiburg is the stronger side on Power Rating (1501 vs 1434).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Freiburg
Form Index
Freiburg
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Augsburg

Green = favours Augsburg · Blue = favours Freiburg. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AugsburgWLDLD1.0 ppg
FreiburgLDWWL1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Augsburg1434
Freiburg1501
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model36% · 28% · 37%
Power Rating36% · 27% · 37%
Machine-learning26% · 32% · 42%

AI match preview

Augsburg and Freiburg are set for a closely contested Bundesliga clash, with the model suggesting a near-even chance for either side to edge a win or settle for a draw. Expected goals are tightly matched at around 1.46 to 1.49, pointing toward a probable 1-1 scoreline, while a draw holds the highest confidence at 29%. With over 2.5 goals and both teams to score probabilities above 55%, fans can anticipate an engaging match, but remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.46 – 1.49

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 57%

Under 43%

Both teams to score

Yes 61%

No 39%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

WWK Arena Augsburg, Germany Capacity 30,660 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Augsburg 2–2 Freiburg
Aug 2025 Freiburg 1–3 Augsburg