Leverkusen vs Werder Bremen Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Sat 24 Jan, 14:30
Leverkusen
10 Full time
Werder Bremen
Leverkusen 1–0 Werder Bremen

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (63%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 63%
Draw 19%
Away 18%

💡 Leverkusen are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 75.5/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 75.5
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1533 v 1448 Leverkusen rated higher
Form Index LWWLL v LLDLD Leverkusen 1.2 · Werder Bremen 0.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Leverkusen v Werder Bremen

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Why we predict this

  • Leverkusen is the stronger side on Power Rating (1533 vs 1448).
  • Leverkusen is in clearly better recent form (1.2 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Leverkusen
Form Index
Leverkusen
Goal expectation
Leverkusen
Home advantage
Leverkusen

Green = favours Leverkusen · Blue = favours Werder Bremen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LeverkusenLWWLL1.2 ppg
Werder BremenLLDLD0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Leverkusen1533
Werder Bremen1448
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model66% · 21% · 14%
Power Rating61% · 14% · 26%
Machine-learning70% · 16% · 14%

AI match preview

Leverkusen enters this Bundesliga clash with a strong 63% chance of securing a home victory, backed by an expected goals tally of 2.32 compared to Werder Bremen's 0.99. The model suggests a 2-0 scoreline as the most likely outcome, with a 64% probability of the match exceeding 2.5 goals and a 58% chance both teams will find the net. These projections offer insightful probabilities but remember to gamble responsibly and consider all factors before placing any bets (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.32 – 0.99

Most likely score

2-0

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 64%

Under 36%

Both teams to score

Yes 58%

No 42%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Leverkusen 1–0 Werder Bremen
Aug 2025 Werder Bremen 3–3 Leverkusen