Mainz vs Wolfsburg Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Sat 24 Jan, 14:30
Mainz
31 Full time
Wolfsburg
Mainz 3–1 Wolfsburg

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (38%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 38%
Draw 28%
Away 33%

💡 Mainz have a slight edge — leaning Mainz, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 39.7/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 39.7
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1426 v 1461 Wolfsburg rated higher
Form Index DDDWL v WLLWD Mainz 1.2 · Wolfsburg 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1426 vs 1461).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Wolfsburg
Form Index
Wolfsburg
Goal expectation
Wolfsburg
Home advantage
Mainz

Green = favours Mainz · Blue = favours Wolfsburg. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MainzDDDWL1.2 ppg
WolfsburgWLLWD1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Mainz1426
Wolfsburg1461
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model32% · 30% · 38%
Power Rating41% · 24% · 35%
Machine-learning33% · 32% · 35%

AI match preview

Mainz and Wolfsburg are set for a closely contested Bundesliga clash, with the model giving a slight edge to Mainz at 38% probability over Wolfsburg's 33%, while a draw sits at 28%. The expected goals are tight, around 1.18 for Mainz and 1.30 for Wolfsburg, indicating a likely low-scoring affair, with 1-1 as the most probable scoreline. There's roughly a 52% chance both teams will score and a 45% chance the match will see over 2.5 goals; remember, these are statistical projections and betting should be done responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.18 – 1.30

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 45%

Under 55%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Mainz 3–1 Wolfsburg
Aug 2025 Wolfsburg 1–1 Mainz