Union Berlin vs Dortmund Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Sat 24 Jan, 17:30
Union Berlin
03 Full time
Dortmund
Union Berlin 0–3 Dortmund

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (43%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 28%
Draw 29%
Away 43%

💡 Dortmund have a slight edge — leaning Dortmund, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 47.4/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 47.4
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1492 v 1610 Dortmund rated higher
Form Index WWDDD v DWDWW Union Berlin 1.8 · Dortmund 2.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Dortmund is the stronger side on Power Rating (1610 vs 1492).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Dortmund
Form Index
Dortmund
Goal expectation
Dortmund
Home advantage
Union Berlin

Green = favours Union Berlin · Blue = favours Dortmund. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Union BerlinWWDDD1.8 ppg
DortmundDWDWW2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Union Berlin1492
Dortmund1610
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model28% · 27% · 45%
Power Rating33% · 22% · 45%
Machine-learning17% · 38% · 45%

AI match preview

Union Berlin welcome Dortmund in a Bundesliga clash where the visitors hold a 43% chance of victory, though a draw is nearly as likely at 29%. The model anticipates a tight contest with an expected goals tally favoring Dortmund slightly (1.68 vs. 1.30), suggesting a probable 1-1 scoreline. With a 57% probability for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, this matchup promises attacking intent—remember these are statistical projections and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.30 – 1.68

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 57%

Under 43%

Both teams to score

Yes 61%

No 39%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadion An der Alten Forsterei Berlin, Germany Capacity 22,012 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Union Berlin 0–3 Dortmund
Aug 2025 Dortmund 3–0 Union Berlin