St Pauli vs RB Leipzig Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Tue 27 Jan, 19:30
St Pauli
11 Full time
RB Leipzig
St Pauli 1–1 RB Leipzig

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (52%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 20%
Draw 28%
Away 52%

💡 RB Leipzig are favourites — about 52 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 58.6/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 58.6
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1407 v 1560 RB Leipzig rated higher
Form Index WDLLD v LLWLW St Pauli 1.0 · RB Leipzig 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on St Pauli v RB Leipzig

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • RB Leipzig is the stronger side on Power Rating (1560 vs 1407).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
RB Leipzig
Form Index
RB Leipzig
Goal expectation
RB Leipzig
Home advantage
St Pauli

Green = favours St Pauli · Blue = favours RB Leipzig. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
St PauliWDLLD1.0 ppg
RB LeipzigLLWLW1.2 ppg
Power Rating
St Pauli1407
RB Leipzig1560
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model20% · 26% · 55%
Power Rating30% · 19% · 51%
Machine-learning11% · 44% · 45%

AI match preview

St Pauli host RB Leipzig in a Bundesliga clash where the visitors hold a 52% chance of victory, according to model projections, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 28%. The expected goals tally suggests a tight contest, with 1.03 for St Pauli and 1.84 for Leipzig, pointing towards a likely 1-1 scoreline. With over 2.5 goals and both teams to score probabilities just over 55%, this match could offer an entertaining balance of attack and defense. Remember, these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.03 – 1.84

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 55%

Under 45%

Both teams to score

Yes 56%

No 44%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 RB Leipzig 2–1 St Pauli
Jan 2026 St Pauli 1–1 RB Leipzig