Augsburg vs St Pauli Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Sat 31 Jan, 14:30
Augsburg
21 Full time
St Pauli
Augsburg 2–1 St Pauli

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (48%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 48%
Draw 27%
Away 26%

💡 Augsburg are favourites — about 48 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 53.2/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 53.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1453 v 1410 Augsburg rated higher
Form Index DLDDW v DLLDD Augsburg 1.2 · St Pauli 0.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Augsburg v St Pauli

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Why we predict this

  • Augsburg is the stronger side on Power Rating (1453 vs 1410).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Augsburg
Form Index
Augsburg
Goal expectation
Augsburg
Home advantage
Augsburg

Green = favours Augsburg · Blue = favours St Pauli. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AugsburgDLDDW1.2 ppg
St PauliDLLDD0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Augsburg1453
St Pauli1410
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model38% · 31% · 31%
Power Rating54% · 17% · 29%
Machine-learning60% · 21% · 19%

AI match preview

Augsburg and St Pauli are set for a closely contested Bundesliga clash, with the model giving a slight edge to Augsburg at 48% probability for a home win. The expected goals are nearly even, suggesting a tight match likely to produce around one goal each, reflected in the most probable 1-1 scoreline. With a 50% chance of both teams scoring and only a 42% likelihood of over 2.5 goals, fans can anticipate a balanced encounter—remember, these projections are statistical estimates; please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.25 – 1.12

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 42%

Under 58%

Both teams to score

Yes 50%

No 50%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

WWK Arena Augsburg, Germany Capacity 30,660 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Augsburg 2–1 St Pauli
Sept 2025 St Pauli 2–1 Augsburg