Hoffenheim vs Union Berlin Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Sat 31 Jan, 14:30
Hoffenheim
31 Full time
Union Berlin
Hoffenheim 3–1 Union Berlin

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (60%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 60%
Draw 21%
Away 19%

💡 Hoffenheim are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 71.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 71.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1605 v 1475 Hoffenheim rated higher
Form Index DWWWW v WDDDL Hoffenheim 2.6 · Union Berlin 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Hoffenheim v Union Berlin

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Why we predict this

  • Hoffenheim is the stronger side on Power Rating (1605 vs 1475).
  • Hoffenheim is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Hoffenheim
Form Index
Hoffenheim
Goal expectation
Hoffenheim
Home advantage
Hoffenheim

Green = favours Hoffenheim · Blue = favours Union Berlin. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
HoffenheimDWWWW2.6 ppg
Union BerlinWDDDL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Hoffenheim1605
Union Berlin1475
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model59% · 24% · 17%
Power Rating66% · 12% · 22%
Machine-learning80% · 12% · 8%

AI match preview

Hoffenheim enter this Bundesliga clash with a 60% probability of securing a home win against Union Berlin, supported by a solid confidence rating of 71/100. The model projects an expected goals tally favoring Hoffenheim at 2.03 to 1.03, yet intriguingly suggests the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, reflecting the competitive nature of the encounter. With a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and 57% likelihood of both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an engaging match, though all projections remain probabilistic—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.03 – 1.03

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 59%

Under 41%

Both teams to score

Yes 57%

No 43%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Hoffenheim 3–1 Union Berlin
Sept 2025 Union Berlin 2–4 Hoffenheim