Stuttgart vs Freiburg Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Sun 1 Feb, 14:30
Stuttgart
10 Full time
Freiburg
Stuttgart 1–0 Freiburg

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (58%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 58%
Draw 21%
Away 21%

💡 Stuttgart are favourites — about 58 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 68.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 68.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1581 v 1508 Stuttgart rated higher
Form Index DWWDW v WWLDW Stuttgart 2.2 · Freiburg 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Stuttgart v Freiburg

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Why we predict this

  • Stuttgart is the stronger side on Power Rating (1581 vs 1508).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Stuttgart
Form Index
Stuttgart
Goal expectation
Stuttgart
Home advantage
Stuttgart

Green = favours Stuttgart · Blue = favours Freiburg. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
StuttgartDWWDW2.2 ppg
FreiburgWWLDW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Stuttgart1581
Freiburg1508
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model50% · 26% · 24%
Power Rating59% · 15% · 27%
Machine-learning66% · 16% · 19%

AI match preview

Stuttgart enters this Bundesliga clash with a statistical edge, holding a 58% chance of victory and an expected goal tally of 1.76 compared to Freiburg’s 1.17. Despite the home advantage, the model projects a closely contested match with a most likely scoreline of 1-1, reflecting a balanced offensive output. With a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, fans can anticipate a competitive and potentially open game; remember, these projections are based on data and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.76 – 1.17

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 56%

Under 44%

Both teams to score

Yes 58%

No 42%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

MHPArena Stuttgart, Germany Capacity 60,449 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Stuttgart 1–0 Freiburg
Sept 2025 Freiburg 3–1 Stuttgart