Freiburg vs Werder Bremen Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Sat 7 Feb, 14:30
Freiburg
10 Full time
Werder Bremen
Freiburg 1–0 Werder Bremen

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (54%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 54%
Draw 23%
Away 23%

💡 Freiburg are favourites — about 54 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 62.1/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 62.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1501 v 1427 Freiburg rated higher
Form Index WLDWL v LDLLD Freiburg 1.4 · Werder Bremen 0.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Freiburg v Werder Bremen

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Why we predict this

  • Freiburg is the stronger side on Power Rating (1501 vs 1427).
  • Freiburg is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.2 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Freiburg
Form Index
Freiburg
Goal expectation
Freiburg
Home advantage
Freiburg

Green = favours Freiburg · Blue = favours Werder Bremen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
FreiburgWLDWL1.4 ppg
Werder BremenLDLLD0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Freiburg1501
Werder Bremen1427
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model64% · 22% · 14%
Power Rating59% · 14% · 27%
Machine-learning65% · 18% · 16%

AI match preview

Freiburg enters this Bundesliga clash with a 54% chance of securing a home win against Werder Bremen, who hold a 23% probability of an upset or draw. The model forecasts 2.18 expected goals for Freiburg and 0.96 for Bremen, yet intriguingly suggests a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline, highlighting the match’s competitive edge. With a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and 56% likelihood of both teams scoring, this encounter promises an engaging battle—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.18 – 0.96

Most likely score

1-1

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 61%

Under 39%

Both teams to score

Yes 56%

No 44%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Europa-Park Stadion Freiburg, Germany Capacity 34,700 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Freiburg 1–0 Werder Bremen
Sept 2025 Werder Bremen 0–3 Freiburg