Mainz vs Augsburg Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Sat 7 Feb, 14:30
Mainz
20 Full time
Augsburg
Mainz 2–0 Augsburg

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (46%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 46%
Draw 27%
Away 27%

💡 Mainz are favourites — about 46 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 51.2/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 51.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1458 v 1461 Augsburg rated higher
Form Index DWLWW v LDDWW Mainz 2.0 · Augsburg 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1458 vs 1461).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Mainz
Goal expectation
Mainz
Home advantage
Mainz

Green = favours Mainz · Blue = favours Augsburg. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MainzDWLWW2.0 ppg
AugsburgLDDWW1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Mainz1458
Augsburg1461
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model40% · 31% · 29%
Power Rating46% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning44% · 30% · 27%

AI match preview

Mainz and Augsburg face off in a Bundesliga clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 46% chance of victory, according to model projections. The expected goals suggest a close contest, with Mainz at 1.32 and Augsburg at 1.09, making a 1-1 draw the most probable scoreline. With a 43% probability for over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance both teams score, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.32 – 1.09

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 43%

Under 57%

Both teams to score

Yes 50%

No 50%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Mainz 2–0 Augsburg
Sept 2025 Augsburg 1–4 Mainz