St Pauli vs Stuttgart Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Sat 7 Feb, 14:30
St Pauli
21 Full time
Stuttgart
St Pauli 2–1 Stuttgart

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (58%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 18%
Draw 24%
Away 58%

💡 Stuttgart are favourites — about 58 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 67.4/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 67.4
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1402 v 1587 Stuttgart rated higher
Form Index LLDDL v WWDWW St Pauli 0.4 · Stuttgart 2.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on St Pauli v Stuttgart

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Why we predict this

  • Stuttgart is the stronger side on Power Rating (1587 vs 1402).
  • Stuttgart is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Stuttgart
Form Index
Stuttgart
Goal expectation
Stuttgart
Home advantage
St Pauli

Green = favours St Pauli · Blue = favours Stuttgart. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
St PauliLLDDL0.4 ppg
StuttgartWWDWW2.6 ppg
Power Rating
St Pauli1402
Stuttgart1587
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model13% · 19% · 67%
Power Rating28% · 16% · 56%
Machine-learning9% · 32% · 59%

AI match preview

St Pauli hosts Stuttgart in a Bundesliga clash where the model favors an away win with a 58% probability and a confidence level of 67.4 out of 100. Stuttgart is expected to score around 2.46 goals compared to St Pauli’s 1.05, with a most likely scoreline of 1-2, while there’s a 68% chance the match will see over 2.5 goals and a 61% probability both teams will score. These projections are statistical estimates and should be used responsibly when considering bets (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.05 – 2.46

Most likely score

1-2

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 68%

Under 32%

Both teams to score

Yes 61%

No 39%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 St Pauli 2–1 Stuttgart
Sept 2025 Stuttgart 2–0 St Pauli