M'gladbach vs Leverkusen Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Sat 7 Feb, 17:30
M'gladbach
11 Full time
Leverkusen
M'gladbach 1–1 Leverkusen

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (48%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 26%
Draw 26%
Away 48%

💡 Leverkusen are favourites — about 48 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 53.8/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 53.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1456 v 1557 Leverkusen rated higher
Form Index WLDLD v WLLWW M'gladbach 1.0 · Leverkusen 1.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on M'gladbach v Leverkusen

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Why we predict this

  • Leverkusen is the stronger side on Power Rating (1557 vs 1456).
  • Leverkusen is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Leverkusen
Form Index
Leverkusen
Goal expectation
Leverkusen
Home advantage
M'gladbach

Green = favours M'gladbach · Blue = favours Leverkusen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
M'gladbachWLDLD1.0 ppg
LeverkusenWLLWW1.8 ppg
Power Rating
M'gladbach1456
Leverkusen1557
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model20% · 21% · 60%
Power Rating34% · 24% · 42%
Machine-learning20% · 35% · 45%

AI match preview

In the Bundesliga clash between M'gladbach and Leverkusen, the model slightly favors an away win with a 48% probability and a confidence rating of 53.8/100. The expected goals suggest an open game with Leverkusen likely to edge it 2-1, supported by a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance both teams will score. Remember, these are statistical projections and not certainties—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.36 – 2.40

Most likely score

1-2

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 72%

Under 28%

Both teams to score

Yes 69%

No 31%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 M'gladbach 1–1 Leverkusen
Sept 2025 Leverkusen 1–1 M'gladbach