FC Koln vs RB Leipzig Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Sun 8 Feb, 14:30
FC Koln
12 Full time
RB Leipzig
FC Koln 1–2 RB Leipzig

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (43%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 30%
Draw 27%
Away 43%

💡 RB Leipzig have a slight edge — leaning RB Leipzig, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 46.1/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 46.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1461 v 1541 RB Leipzig rated higher
Form Index DLWLW v WLWDL FC Koln 1.4 · RB Leipzig 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • RB Leipzig is the stronger side on Power Rating (1541 vs 1461).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
RB Leipzig
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
FC Koln

Green = favours FC Koln · Blue = favours RB Leipzig. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
FC KolnDLWLW1.4 ppg
RB LeipzigWLWDL1.4 ppg
Power Rating
FC Koln1461
RB Leipzig1541
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model37% · 27% · 36%
Power Rating36% · 26% · 39%
Machine-learning24% · 37% · 40%

AI match preview

FC Koln hosts RB Leipzig in what promises to be a tightly contested Bundesliga clash, with the model giving Leipzig a 43% chance of victory compared to Koln’s 30%. Despite the away side’s slight edge, the expected goals are nearly identical at 1.53 for Koln and 1.52 for Leipzig, suggesting a balanced and potentially close encounter, with a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline. Fans can also anticipate a lively game, as there’s a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance both teams will score; remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.53 – 1.52

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 59%

Under 41%

Both teams to score

Yes 63%

No 37%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 FC Koln 1–2 RB Leipzig
Sept 2025 RB Leipzig 3–1 FC Koln