Leverkusen vs St Pauli Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Sat 14 Feb, 14:30
Leverkusen
40 Full time
St Pauli
Leverkusen 4–0 St Pauli

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (67%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 67%
Draw 18%
Away 15%

💡 Leverkusen are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 79.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 79.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1556 v 1417 Leverkusen rated higher
Form Index LLWWD v LDDLW Leverkusen 1.4 · St Pauli 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Leverkusen v St Pauli

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Leverkusen is the stronger side on Power Rating (1556 vs 1417).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Leverkusen
Form Index
Leverkusen
Goal expectation
Leverkusen
Home advantage
Leverkusen

Green = favours Leverkusen · Blue = favours St Pauli. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LeverkusenLLWWD1.4 ppg
St PauliLDDLW1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Leverkusen1556
St Pauli1417
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model63% · 25% · 13%
Power Rating67% · 12% · 21%
Machine-learning83% · 8% · 9%

AI match preview

Leverkusen enters this Bundesliga clash with a strong 67% projected chance of victory over St Pauli, backed by an expected goals tally of 1.84 to 0.73. The model suggests a 2-0 scoreline as the most probable outcome, reflecting Leverkusen's offensive edge and defensive solidity. While the odds lean towards a home win, the game could still unfold in various ways; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.84 – 0.73

Most likely score

2-0

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 48%

Under 52%

Both teams to score

Yes 45%

No 55%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Leverkusen 4–0 St Pauli
Sept 2025 St Pauli 1–2 Leverkusen