Union Berlin vs Leverkusen Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Sat 21 Feb, 14:30
Union Berlin
10 Full time
Leverkusen
Union Berlin 1–0 Leverkusen

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (45%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 29%
Draw 27%
Away 45%

💡 Leverkusen have a slight edge — leaning Leverkusen, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 49.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 49.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1457 v 1566 Leverkusen rated higher
Form Index DLLDL v LWWDW Union Berlin 0.4 · Leverkusen 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Union Berlin v Leverkusen

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Leverkusen is the stronger side on Power Rating (1566 vs 1457).
  • Leverkusen is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Leverkusen
Form Index
Leverkusen
Goal expectation
Leverkusen
Home advantage
Union Berlin

Green = favours Union Berlin · Blue = favours Leverkusen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Union BerlinDLLDL0.4 ppg
LeverkusenLWWDW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Union Berlin1457
Leverkusen1566
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model29% · 25% · 47%
Power Rating34% · 23% · 43%
Machine-learning17% · 27% · 56%

AI match preview

Union Berlin host Leverkusen in a Bundesliga clash where the visitors hold a 45% chance of victory according to model projections, though a draw remains close at 27%. The expected goals suggest a competitive encounter with a likely 1-1 scoreline, supported by a strong 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% chance both teams will score. These figures indicate an open game with opportunities on both sides, but remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.91

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 66%

Under 34%

Both teams to score

Yes 67%

No 33%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadion An der Alten Forsterei Berlin, Germany Capacity 22,012 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Union Berlin 1–0 Leverkusen
Oct 2025 Leverkusen 2–0 Union Berlin