Augsburg vs FC Koln Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Fri 27 Feb, 19:30
Augsburg
20 Full time
FC Koln
Augsburg 2–0 FC Koln

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (44%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 44%
Draw 27%
Away 28%

💡 Augsburg have a slight edge — leaning Augsburg, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 49.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 49.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1466 v 1446 Augsburg rated higher
Form Index WWLWW v LWLLD Augsburg 2.4 · FC Koln 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Augsburg v FC Koln

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1466 vs 1446).
  • Augsburg is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Augsburg
Form Index
Augsburg
Goal expectation
Augsburg
Home advantage
Augsburg

Green = favours Augsburg · Blue = favours FC Koln. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AugsburgWWLWW2.4 ppg
FC KolnLWLLD0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Augsburg1466
FC Koln1446
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model39% · 29% · 32%
Power Rating50% · 19% · 31%
Machine-learning47% · 32% · 21%

AI match preview

Augsburg and FC Koln are set for a closely contested Bundesliga clash, with the model giving a slight edge to Augsburg at 44% probability for a home win, while a draw and away victory both remain plausible outcomes. The expected goals are tight, 1.39 for Augsburg and 1.25 for Koln, suggesting a competitive match likely to produce goals from both sides, with a 55% chance of both teams scoring. While the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, the probabilities indicate a balanced contest—remember these projections are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.39 – 1.25

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 49%

Under 51%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

WWK Arena Augsburg, Germany Capacity 30,660 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Augsburg 2–0 FC Koln
Oct 2025 FC Koln 1–1 Augsburg