Hoffenheim vs St Pauli Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Sat 28 Feb, 14:30
Hoffenheim
01 Full time
St Pauli
Hoffenheim 0–1 St Pauli

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (70%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 70%
Draw 17%
Away 13%

💡 Hoffenheim are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 85.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 85.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1608 v 1416 Hoffenheim rated higher
Form Index WWLWD v DLWLW Hoffenheim 2.0 · St Pauli 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Hoffenheim v St Pauli

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Why we predict this

  • Hoffenheim is the stronger side on Power Rating (1608 vs 1416).
  • Hoffenheim is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Hoffenheim
Form Index
Hoffenheim
Goal expectation
Hoffenheim
Home advantage
Hoffenheim

Green = favours Hoffenheim · Blue = favours St Pauli. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
HoffenheimWWLWD2.0 ppg
St PauliDLWLW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Hoffenheim1608
St Pauli1416
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model72% · 19% · 9%
Power Rating72% · 12% · 16%
Machine-learning90% · 5% · 6%

AI match preview

Hoffenheim enter this Bundesliga clash with a strong 70% probability of securing a home win against St Pauli, backed by an expected goals tally of 2.38 compared to 0.77 for the visitors. The model favors a 2-0 scoreline, with a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a balanced 50% likelihood of both teams scoring. These projections highlight Hoffenheim’s advantage, but as always, outcomes can vary—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.38 – 0.77

Most likely score

2-0

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 61%

Under 39%

Both teams to score

Yes 50%

No 50%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Hoffenheim 0–1 St Pauli
Oct 2025 St Pauli 0–3 Hoffenheim