Leverkusen vs Mainz Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Sat 28 Feb, 14:30
Leverkusen
11 Full time
Mainz
Leverkusen 1–1 Mainz

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (62%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 62%
Draw 19%
Away 19%

💡 Leverkusen are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 74.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 74.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1553 v 1461 Leverkusen rated higher
Form Index WWDWL v WWWLD Leverkusen 2.0 · Mainz 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Leverkusen v Mainz

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Why we predict this

  • Leverkusen is the stronger side on Power Rating (1553 vs 1461).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Leverkusen
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Leverkusen
Home advantage
Leverkusen

Green = favours Leverkusen · Blue = favours Mainz. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LeverkusenWWDWL2.0 ppg
MainzWWWLD2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Leverkusen1553
Mainz1461
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model72% · 18% · 10%
Power Rating62% · 13% · 25%
Machine-learning73% · 12% · 16%

AI match preview

Leverkusen hosts Mainz in a Bundesliga clash where the model favors a home win with a 62% probability, highlighting Leverkusen's strong expected goals advantage of 2.49 to 0.88. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, reflecting a solid defensive performance from the hosts. With a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% probability of both teams scoring, this match promises attacking action, though outcomes remain uncertain—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.49 – 0.88

Most likely score

2-0

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 65%

Under 35%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Leverkusen 1–1 Mainz
Oct 2025 Mainz 3–4 Leverkusen