Dortmund vs Bayern Munich Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Sat 28 Feb, 17:30
Dortmund
23 Full time
Bayern Munich
Dortmund 2–3 Bayern Munich

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (49%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 25%
Draw 26%
Away 49%

💡 Bayern Munich are favourites — about 49 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 56.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 56.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1644 v 1705 Bayern Munich rated higher
Form Index WWWWD v LDWWW Dortmund 2.6 · Bayern Munich 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Bayern Munich is the stronger side on Power Rating (1705 vs 1644).
  • Dortmund is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 2.0 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.8 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Bayern Munich
Form Index
Dortmund
Goal expectation
Bayern Munich
Home advantage
Dortmund

Green = favours Dortmund · Blue = favours Bayern Munich. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
DortmundWWWWD2.6 ppg
Bayern MunichLDWWW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Dortmund1644
Bayern Munich1705
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model26% · 26% · 48%
Power Rating37% · 27% · 36%
Machine-learning19% · 39% · 42%

AI match preview

Dortmund host Bayern Munich in a Bundesliga clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 49%, though a draw remains a close possibility at 26%. Expected goals suggest a tight contest, with 1.29 for Dortmund and 1.82 for Bayern, pointing toward a likely 1-1 scoreline despite the slight edge to the visitors. With a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and 62% probability of both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an open game; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.29 – 1.82

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 60%

Under 40%

Both teams to score

Yes 62%

No 38%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Dortmund 2–3 Bayern Munich
Oct 2025 Bayern Munich 2–1 Dortmund